Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 4 (Portugal) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Referee: Bruschy S. (Por)


	Ryan Nijboer		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.4
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.79	1.42
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.17)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Nijboer
34.1%

Vilius Gaubas
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Nijboer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryan Nijboer's form might have worsened.

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilius Gaubas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryan Nijboer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Nijboer is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gaubas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gaubas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gaubas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Nijboer
ATP Challenger
10.05.24	Ryan Nijboer - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
08.05.24	Ryan Nijboer - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
07.05.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Gabriel Debru - Ryan Nijboer	1:2 ✺
05.05.24	Ryan Nijboer - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
07.05.24	Jozef Kovalik - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Hugo Dellien - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Vilius Gaubas - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Vilius Gaubas - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
10.10.26	Elmer Moller - Vilius Gaubas	✺

Ryan Nijboer - Vilius Gaubas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide