Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.37
	3.07	1.41
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.17)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
32.1%

Vilius Gaubas
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Moro Canas (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vilius Gaubas will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moro Canas (votes: 1 - 50%). Gaubas (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 242. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 101.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gaubas is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moro Canas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Menelaos Efstathiou - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Nerman Fatic - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Santiago
27.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Dino Prizmic - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Matias Soto - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Vilius Gaubas - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Vilius Gaubas - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.01.26	Vilius Gaubas - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1
28.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Vilius Gaubas	2:0

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