Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Istanbul 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Saba Purtseladze		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
	2.55	1.45
	2.63	1.47
	2.92	1.35	Watch
	2.60	1.44
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	2.70	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.74)	1.43 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saba Purtseladze
34.8%

Mert Alkaya
65.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saba Purtseladze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saba Purtseladze than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saba Purtseladze that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mert Alkaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Saba Purtseladze - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Alkaya will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Purtseladze is ranked ATP: 659. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 299.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Alkaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saba Purtseladze
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Saba Purtseladze - Toufik Sahtali	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Radu Albot - Saba Purtseladze	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Shunsuke Nakagawa - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
06.07.26	Tsung-Hao Huang - Saba Purtseladze	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Edouard Villoslada - Saba Purtseladze	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLW
- Mert Alkaya
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Mert Alkaya - Colin Sinclair	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Luka Pavlovic - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Akira Santillan - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Mert Alkaya - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Chris Rodesch - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Mert Alkaya - Yu Hsiou Hsu	✺

Saba Purtseladze - Mert Alkaya