Match Info

Date: 5 March 2020, Thursday


	Salvatore Caruso		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.75	1.22
	4	1.24	Watch
	3.54	1.24
	3.83	1.27
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	4.2	1.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.11)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Salvatore Caruso
24.5%

Brandon Nakashima
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salvatore Caruso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salvatore Caruso's form might have worsened.

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brandon Nakashima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	0%	72.2%

Salvatore Caruso - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Caruso will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Nakashima will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salvatore Caruso
ATP Challenger
03.03.20	Salvatore Caruso - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
26.02.20	Federico Delbonis - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
25.02.20	Jozef Kovalik - Salvatore Caruso	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.20	Jaume Munar - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.20	Salvatore Caruso - Pedro Sousa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Challenger
04.03.20	Brandon Nakashima - Yuichi Sugita	2:0 ✺
03.03.20	Liam Broady - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
21.02.20	Brandon Nakashima - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
19.02.20	Cameron Norrie - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
17.02.20	Jiri Vesely - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches