Match Info

Date: 22 June 2022, Wednesday


	Sebastian Baez		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.71	2.14
	1.64	2.16
	1.7	2.29
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.72	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.12)	2.17 ↑ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
56.3%

Daniel Altmaier
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Baez's performance.

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Altmaier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Baez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Altmaier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	0%	17.2%

Sebastian Baez - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (48 of 58 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.04% – 92.48%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Baez is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Altmaier is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Mallorca
21.06.22	Sebastian Baez - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.22	Alexander Zverev - Sebastian Baez	3:2 ✺
23.05.22	Dusan Lajovic - Sebastian Baez	1:3 ✺
ATP Lyon
19.05.22	Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
17.05.22	Oscar Otte - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWLW
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Mallorca
21.06.22	Daniel Altmaier - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
14.06.22	Nick Kyrgios - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
06.06.22	Oscar Otte - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.22	Daniel Altmaier - Jaume Munar	1:3 ✺
ATP Lyon
17.05.22	Daniel Altmaier - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Sydney
09.01.22	Daniel Altmaier - Sebastian Baez	0:2

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