Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Cameron Norrie		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
			Watch
	1.22	4.4	Watch
	1.26	3.62	Watch
			Watch
	1.22	4.45	Watch
	1.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.26)	4.23 ↑ (3.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
77.5%

Sebastian Baez
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrie (votes: 3 - 60%). Baez (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cameron Norrie will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Norrie is ranked ATP: 35. Baez is ranked ATP: 43.

In recent matches, Norrie has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Baez is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Baez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Norrie is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Norrie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Matteo Berrettini - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Cameron Norrie - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Learner Tien - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Daniil Medvedev - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Basel
21.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Denis Shapovalov	Canceled ✺
ATP Brussels
14.10.25	Valentin Royer - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 L?L?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Lyon
25.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Cameron Norrie	1:2
19.05.22	Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Baez	2:1

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