Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Tennis


	Sebastian Baez		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.35	3.1
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.34	3.56
	1.33	3.45	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.34	3.29	Watch
	1.33	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)	3.35 ↓ (3.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
71.6%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Sebastian Baez - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Tirante will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Baez is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tirante is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tirante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Hamburg
20.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
17.07.24	Dusan Lajovic - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
16.07.24	Dominik Koepfer - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Brandon Nakashima	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWL
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
20.07.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
17.07.24	Andrey Rublev - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
16.07.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLWWW

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