Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Andrea Picchione

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.3	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.34	3.48
	1.28	3.41	Watch
			Watch
	1.33	3.15	Watch
	1.27	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)	3.33 ↑ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
71.9%

Andrea Picchione
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Andrea Picchione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Picchione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Andrea Pellegrino - Andrea Picchione Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Picchione will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Picchione (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 141. Picchione is ranked ATP: 366.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Picchione may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pellegrino is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
20.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLL
- Andrea Picchione
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Andrea Picchione	Picchione A. walkover ✺
02.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Eero Vasa	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Andrea Picchione - Simone Agostini	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Andrea Picchione - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 ?WWWL

Andrea Pellegrino - Andrea Picchione: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide