Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 June 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Lahyani M. (Swe)


	Sebastian Korda		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.66	2.15	Watch
	1.7	2.27
	1.7	2.27
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.17	Watch
	1.67	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.73)	2.19 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
56.4%

Karen Khachanov
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Sebastian Korda - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Khachanov will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Korda is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Khachanov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Korda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Korda won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Hertogenbosch
16.06.24	Alex De Minaur - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
14.06.24	Sebastian Korda - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
13.06.24	Sebastian Korda - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Sebastian Korda - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Karen Khachanov - Jozef Kovalik	2:3 ✺
27.05.24	Karen Khachanov - Sumit Nagal	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
14.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Zhuhai
25.09.23	Karen Khachanov - Sebastian Korda	2:0
ATP Australian Open
23.01.23	Karen Khachanov - Sebastian Korda	Korda S. retired
ATP Antwerp
20.10.22	Karen Khachanov - Sebastian Korda	0:2
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.22	Karen Khachanov - Sebastian Korda	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.21	Karen Khachanov - Sebastian Korda	3:2

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