Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Referee: Lahyani M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Nicolas Jarry		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.83
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	2	1.9
	2.07	1.85
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.89	1.92	Watch
	2.06	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.97)	1.85 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
48.1%

Tommy Paul
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	0%	34.8%

Nicolas Jarry - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 30 - 65.2%). Paul will win (votes: 16 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 51.4% – 79%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Jarry won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Roma
16.05.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
14.05.24	Nicolas Jarry - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Stefano Napolitano - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Nicolas Jarry - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL
- Tommy Paul
ATP Roma
16.05.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
14.05.24	Tommy Paul - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Tommy Paul - Dominik Koepfer	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Tommy Paul - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Tommy Paul - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
01.06.23	Tommy Paul - Nicolas Jarry	1:3
ATP Adelaide
12.01.20	Nicolas Jarry - Tommy Paul	0:2

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