Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Sebastian Ofner		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.31	1.62	Watch
	2.31	1.68
	2.19	1.66	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.26	1.65	Watch
	2.31	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.31)	1.64 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
41.8%

Francis Tiafoe
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Sebastian Ofner - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 23 - 92%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 81.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Ofner (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Ofner (3.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Ofner will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Ofner (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Tiafoe (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ofner is ranked ATP: 143. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 16.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ofner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tiafoe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ofner won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Sebastian Ofner	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
06.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Sebastian Ofner - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 ?WWLW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Madrid
30.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. retired ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
14.04.25	Tomas Machac - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LW?L?

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
30.08.23	Sebastian Ofner - Francis Tiafoe	0:3

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