Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Brandon Nakashima		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.34
	1.63	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.64	2.28	Watch
	1.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.45)	2.29 ↓ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
58.4%

Sebastian Ofner
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brandon Nakashima's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Ofner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Ofner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Ofner will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 63% – 95.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Ofner will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Ofner is ranked ATP: 153.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nakashima will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.56%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
05.04.25	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Christopher Eubanks - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Sebastian Ofner - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.04.25	Sebastian Ofner - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Billy Harris - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWLW

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