Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Johannus Monday

	1	2
	1.53	2.35
	1.56	2.38
	1.55	2.60
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.53	2.50
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.53	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)	2.42 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
61.2%

Johannus Monday
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Johannus Monday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shintaro Mochizuki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Johannus Monday than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Johannus Monday could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Johannus Monday Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 116. Monday is ranked ATP: 315.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mochizuki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mochizuki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
23.07.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Duncan Chan	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Philip Sekulic	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.26	Jannik Sinner - Shintaro Mochizuki	3:0 ✺
03.07.26	Rafael Jodar - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:3 ✺
01.07.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Ethan Quinn	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWLWW
- Johannus Monday
ATP Challenger
23.07.26	Johannus Monday - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Justin Boulais - Johannus Monday	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Johannus Monday - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Johannus Monday - Arda Azkara	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Johannus Monday - Matthew Summers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.06.25	Johannus Monday - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2

Shintaro Mochizuki - Johannus Monday: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide