Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	Stefano Travaglia		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.24	1.67
	2.31	1.56	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.6)	1.62 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
42.5%

Shintaro Mochizuki
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano Travaglia's performance.

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shintaro Mochizuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Stefano Travaglia - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mochizuki (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Travaglia (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 3 - 60%). Mochizuki (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 191. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 112.

Travaglia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mochizuki could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.78%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Stefano Travaglia - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Martin Landaluce - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Blake Ellis - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Australian Open
20.01.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
09.01.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP United Cup
03.01.26	Billy Harris - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
02.01.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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