Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: United Cup, hard

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Italy	Super Tennis


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.4	2.86	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.42	2.87	Watch
	1.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.33)	2.9 ↓ (3.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
67.4%

Shintaro Mochizuki
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 36. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 99.

In this match, Tsitsipas is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Tsitsipas - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 70.7%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Vienna
21.10.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lorenzo Musetti	Canceled ✺
Exhibition Six Kings Slam Men
15.10.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Nuno Borges - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?L?LW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Viktor Durasovic - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Athens
02.11.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Pavlo Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

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