Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Sho Shimabukuro		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.60	1.28
	3.83	1.25
	4.2	1.29
	3.64	1.27	Watch
	3.85	1.27
	4.01	1.26	Watch
	3.85	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (2.57)	1.27 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
24.7%

Arthur Rinderknech
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sho Shimabukuro's form might have worsened.

Arthur Rinderknech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Rinderknech's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Rinderknech, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sho Shimabukuro - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Rinderknech will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 87. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 29.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

Shimabukuro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rinderknech is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Sho Shimabukuro - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.99%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
08.08.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Francis Tiafoe - Arthur Rinderknech	Tiafoe F. Retired ✺
05.08.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.26	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LL?WL

Sho Shimabukuro - Arthur Rinderknech: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide