Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Sorana Cirstea		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.61	2.33
	1.65	2.42
	1.59	2.42	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.65	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.66)	2.35 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorana Cirstea
59.1%

Jelena Ostapenko
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorana Cirstea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorana Cirstea than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	0%	61.1%

Sorana Cirstea - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cirstea will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ostapenko (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cirstea is ranked WTA: 27. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 36.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cirstea won 3.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Cirstea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cirstea won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Sorana Cirstea - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 57.49%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorana Cirstea
WTA Roma
11.05.26	Sorana Cirstea - Linda Noskova	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Sorana Cirstea	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Tatjana Maria - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
26.04.26	Sorana Cirstea - Cori Gauff	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Sorana Cirstea - Tyra Caterina Grant	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWLW
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Roma
11.05.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Qinwen Zheng - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Amanda Anisimova	Canceled ✺
06.05.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
26.04.26	Anastasia Potapova - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Brisbane
06.01.26	Sorana Cirstea - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0
WTA Wuhan
07.10.25	Sorana Cirstea - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. retired
WTA Adelaide
08.01.24	Sorana Cirstea - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2
WTA Wimbledon
06.07.23	Sorana Cirstea - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1
WTA Roma
12.05.23	Sorana Cirstea - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2
WTA Beijing
06.10.17	Jelena Ostapenko - Sorana Cirstea	2:0
WTA US Open
31.08.17	Jelena Ostapenko - Sorana Cirstea	2:0

Sorana Cirstea - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide