Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BENGALURU (INDIA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Stefano Napolitano		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	3	1.35	Watch
	3.15	1.4
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	3.02	1.35	Watch
	3.35	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.65)	1.36 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
31.1%

Sumit Nagal
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Stefano Napolitano - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: Sumit Nagal will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Napolitano is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nagal is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nagal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nagal is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nagal to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Napolitano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
16.02.24	Stefano Napolitano - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
15.02.24	Stefano Napolitano - Vasek Pospisil	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Stefano Napolitano - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
09.02.24	Luca Nardi - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
07.02.24	Dan Added - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
16.02.24	Adam Walton - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
15.02.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
13.02.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Luca Nardi - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.09.18	Stefano Napolitano - Sumit Nagal	0:2

Stefano Napolitano - Sumit Nagal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide