Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday


	Stefano Travaglia		Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.59	2.45
	1.53	2.43	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.72)	2.33 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
59.8%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano Travaglia's performance.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano Travaglia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Prado Angelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Stefano Travaglia - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Prado Angelo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Prado Angelo (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 233. Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 261.

Recent performances by Travaglia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Prado Angelo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Travaglia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Travaglia might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.89%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.11%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
05.08.25	Oleg Prihodko - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLL
- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Marco Cecchinato - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - David Jorda Sanchis	2:1 ✺
11.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
05.08.25	Nicolas Kicker - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
04.08.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW

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