Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quebec City, hard - Final

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Stefanos Sakellaridis		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.50	1.50	Watch
	2.88	1.47
	2.49	1.49	Watch
	3.15	1.36
	2.62	1.43	Watch
	2.50	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.76)	1.45 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis
35.2%

Luca Van Assche
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefanos Sakellaridis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Van Assche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 157. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 54.

Sakellaridis is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Van Assche is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sakellaridis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Van Assche might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Van Assche will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Sakellaridis - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.49%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Luca Van Assche - the odds 1.39 are the expected chance of winning is 66.51%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
22.08.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Zizou Bergs - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
20.08.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
22.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Luca Van Assche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide