Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quebec City - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Stefanos Sakellaridis		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.68	2.07	Watch
	1.74	2.14
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.11
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.68	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.62)	2.09 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis
55.3%

Tristan Schoolkate
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Sakellaridis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 157. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 188.

Recent performances by Sakellaridis have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Schoolkate is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Sakellaridis - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.91%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.09%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Martin Damm - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Oliver Tarvet - Stefanos Sakellaridis	3:0 ✺
24.06.26	Federico Coria - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Nicolas Arseneault - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Soon Woo Kwon	Schoolkate T. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWW?

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