Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.37	3.05	Watch
	1.42	3.15
	1.4	2.87	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.41	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.3)	3.03 ↓ (3.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
68.5%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 75. Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 58.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Tsitsipas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tsitsipas is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Alexander Bublik - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Patrick Kypson - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWW
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Quentin Halys - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Otto Virtanen - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Jacob Fearnley - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW

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