Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.26	3.7	Watch
	1.25	3.85
	1.28	3.95
	1.34	3.22	Watch
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.27	3.81	Watch
	1.22	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.33)	3.78 ↑ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
74.8%

Jan-Lennard Struff
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Struff will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Struff: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Struff (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Struff (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jan-Lennard Struff will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Struff (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 18. Struff is ranked ATP: 79.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tsitsipas won 3.

Tsitsipas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Struff has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Struff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tsitsipas is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Tsitsipas won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Barcelona
18.04.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fils	Tsitsipas S. retired ✺
16.04.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
10.04.25	Nuno Borges - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?WWLW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Jan-Lennard Struff	Van De Zandschulp B. retired ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Joao Fonseca - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 ?LLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2
ATP Halle
20.06.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1
ATP Madrid
04.05.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1
ATP Vienna
28.10.20	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1
ATP Dubai
27.02.20	Jan-Lennard Struff - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.19	Jan-Lennard Struff - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1

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