Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.5	Watch
	2.49	1.54	Watch
	2.47	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.42	1.57	Watch
	2.49	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.3)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
38.4%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Jan Lennard Struff - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Struff is ranked ATP: 49. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 39.

Struff has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Davidovich Fokina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Davidovich Fokina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Davidovich Fokina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Struff won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Joao Fonseca - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Daniil Medvedev - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
14.02.25	Daniil Medvedev - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
01.03.25	Tomas Machac - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
13.02.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2

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