Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Almaty 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	21:00	beIN Sports 1
Denmark	12:00	TV2 Play
Finland	13:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Sweden	12:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United Kingdom	11:00	Sky Sports Tennis


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.90	1.41
	3.23	1.37	Watch
	2.90	1.44
	2.78	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (2.99)	1.42 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
33.2%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
66.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 128., and Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 39..

Basilashvili arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Tsitsipas shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Tsitsipas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Tsitsipas for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Tsitsipas in today's match, at odds of 1.37.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Basilashvili has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Almaty
23.10.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
21.10.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
19.10.26	Marin Cilic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
18.10.26	Adam Walton - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Taro Daniel - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Almaty
23.10.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
21.10.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
20.10.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
14.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cup
05.01.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Tsitsipas S. retired
ATP Indian Wells
15.10.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1
ATP Beijing
03.10.19	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2
ATP Australian Open
17.01.19	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Stefanos Tsitsipas