Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Sumit Nagal		Felix Gill

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.51	2.68
	1.40	2.79	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.47	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.7)	2.61 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
64.1%

Felix Gill
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sumit Nagal's performance.

Felix Gill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Felix Gill might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sumit Nagal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felix Gill could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sumit Nagal - Felix Gill Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 286. Gill is ranked ATP: 300.

Nagal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gill is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nagal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nagal might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nagal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Sumit Nagal - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.31%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Felix Gill - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.69%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Federico Cina - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Felix Gill - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW
- Felix Gill
ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Michael Geerts - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Felix Gill - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Felix Gill - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Felix Gill - Sumit Nagal	1:2

Sumit Nagal - Felix Gill: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide