Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday


	Michael Geerts		Felix Gill

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.65	2.14	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.74	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.58)	1.95 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
52.4%

Felix Gill
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Geerts's form might have worsened.

Felix Gill has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Gill's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Geerts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Gill, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Michael Geerts - Felix Gill Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Geerts will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gill will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gill (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerts is ranked ATP: 299. Gill is ranked ATP: 322.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Geerts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Geerts won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Felix Gill - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Michael Geerts - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Edas Butvilas - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Michael Geerts - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLL
- Felix Gill
ATP Challenger
21.02.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Felix Gill - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Felix Gill - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Felix Gill - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Felix Gill - Michael Geerts	2:1

Michael Geerts - Felix Gill: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide