Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday


	Sumit Nagal		Maxim Mrva

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.15	Watch
	1.66	2.31
			Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)	2.18 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
57.1%

Maxim Mrva
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sumit Nagal - Maxim Mrva Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Mrva will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagal: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sumit Nagal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 296. Mrva is ranked ATP: 501.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Mrva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
10.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
07.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Sumit Nagal - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWL
- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
10.07.25	Federico Cina - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Maxim Mrva - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
07.07.25	Maxim Mrva - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Moez Echargui - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
01.07.25	Maxim Mrva - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWL

Sumit Nagal - Maxim Mrva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide