Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Taro Daniel		Valentin Royer

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.3	Watch
	3.44	1.32
	3.27	1.32	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.26	1.31	Watch
	3.25	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.75)	1.32 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
29.3%

Valentin Royer
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Taro Daniel - Valentin Royer Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Royer (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Royer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Daniel is ranked ATP: 123. Royer is ranked ATP: 115.

Daniel is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Royer is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Daniel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Royer is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP Houston
31.03.25	Taro Daniel - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Darwin Blanch - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Taro Daniel - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Taro Daniel - Mathis Bondaz	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Radu Albot - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL
- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
17.04.25	Valentin Royer - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Valentin Royer - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Valentin Royer - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Zsombor Piros - Valentin Royer	Piros Z. retired ✺
09.04.25	August Holmgren - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWL?W

Taro Daniel - Valentin Royer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide