Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Tatjana Maria		Taylor Townsend

	1	2
	3.50	1.30	Watch
	3.40	1.30
	3.10	1.37	Watch
	3.75	1.32
	3.26	1.32	Watch
	3.70	1.29
	3.79	1.28	Watch
	3.30	1.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.87)	1.31 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tatjana Maria
27.4%

Taylor Townsend
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tatjana Maria's form might have worsened.

Taylor Townsend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taylor Townsend's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Townsend than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Tatjana Maria - Taylor Townsend Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Maria will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Townsend will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Townsend (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Maria (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maria (votes: 1 - 50%). Townsend (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maria is ranked WTA: 83. Townsend is ranked WTA: 96.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Townsend may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Townsend is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tatjana Maria
WTA US Open
03.09.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Tatjana Maria	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Tatjana Maria - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.26	Diana Shnaider - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Tatjana Maria - Dayana Yastremska	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
03.08.26	Tatjana Maria - Caty McNally	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL
- Taylor Townsend
WTA US Open
06.09.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Taylor Townsend	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Taylor Townsend - Diana Shnaider	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Taylor Townsend - Taylah Preston	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Maja Chwalinska - Taylor Townsend	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.26	Taylor Townsend - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Washington
22.07.25	Taylor Townsend - Tatjana Maria	2:0

Tatjana Maria - Taylor Townsend: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide