Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ACAPULCO (MEXICO), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 3 March 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Tommy Paul		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.45	1.55
	2.49	1.52
	2.6	1.58
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.56	1.51	Watch
	2.55	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.56)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
37.9%

Taylor Harry Fritz
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Taylor Harry Fritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Tommy Paul - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: Taylor Harry Fritz will win (33 of 42 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.16% – 90.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paul won 3.

Paul is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fritz in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fritz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fritz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Fritz to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Paul won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Acapulco
02.03.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
01.03.23	Michael Mmoh - Tommy Paul	Mmoh M. retired ✺
27.02.23	Emilio Gomez - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.23	Radu Albot - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
16.02.23	Denis Kudla - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 W?WLW
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Acapulco
02.03.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
01.03.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
27.02.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - John Isner	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
19.02.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
28.03.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP Stockholm
10.11.21	Tommy Paul - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0
ATP St Petersburg
28.10.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP Challenger
16.11.17	Tommy Paul - Taylor Harry Fritz	Paul T. retired
12.07.17	Tommy Paul - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0
ITF Tournaments
16.05.15	Taylor Harry Fritz - Tommy Paul	1:2

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