Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Andrei R. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.74	2.21
	1.74	2.22
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.64	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.08)	2.25 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
57.4%

Grigor Dimitrov
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taylor Harry Fritz's performance.

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grigor Dimitrov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taylor Harry Fritz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grigor Dimitrov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71%	0%	29%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Fritz will win (votes: 22 - 71%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 9 - 29%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 55% – 87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fritz is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dimitrov is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fritz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fritz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fritz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Roma
12.05.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
10.05.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
03.05.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
01.05.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Roma
12.05.24	Terence Atmane - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
10.05.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
11.04.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition World Tennis League
22.12.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Grigor Dimitrov	0:1
ATP Geneva
26.05.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1
ATP Madrid
06.05.19	Taylor Harry Fritz - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0

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