Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Forcadell N. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Hubert Hurkacz		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.78
	2.05	1.78	Watch
	2.04	1.85
	2.12	1.81
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.81	Watch
	2.05	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2)	1.81 ↑ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
47%

Taylor Harry Fritz
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Hubert Hurkacz - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Fritz will win (votes: 12 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Hurkacz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
10.04.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Sebastian Baez - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Luciano Darderi - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
21.04.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Christian Garin - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP United Cup
06.01.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2
Exhibition Diriyah Men
08.12.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0
ATP Montreal
06.08.19	Hubert Hurkacz - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0
ATP Eastbourne
27.06.19	Taylor Harry Fritz - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0

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