Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Referee: Haigh R. (Gbr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.2	4.33
	1.2	4.6	Watch
	1.22	4.91
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.21	4.53	Watch
	1.21	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.34)	4.49 ↑ (3.16)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
78.7%

Fabio Fognini
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taylor Harry Fritz's performance.

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fabio Fognini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taylor Harry Fritz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fabio Fognini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: Taylor Harry Fritz will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fritz is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fognini is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fognini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fritz is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fritz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Madrid
03.05.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
01.05.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Sebastian Baez - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Luciano Darderi - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Daniel Evans - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Fabio Fognini - Federico Coria	Fognini F. retired ✺
18.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Joris De Loore	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Fabio Fognini	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 W?LW?

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition UTS Championship Men
24.05.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Fabio Fognini	3:0
ATP Los Cabos
02.08.19	Fabio Fognini - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2
ATP Chengdu
29.09.18	Fabio Fognini - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1

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