Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2025, Monday


	Matteo Berrettini		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.41	2.95	Watch
	1.44	2.79	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.4	2.63	Watch
	1.41	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
67.1%

Zizou Bergs
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	0%	26.9%

Matteo Berrettini - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Bergs will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 30. Bergs is ranked ATP: 51.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Berrettini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Berrettini is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW
- Zizou Bergs
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Luca Nardi - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWL

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