Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Taylor Townsend		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.26	1.64	Watch
	2.19	1.74
	2.21	1.63	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.26	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.4)	1.69 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Townsend
43.7%

Jasmine Paolini
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Townsend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Townsend than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taylor Townsend that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmine Paolini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Taylor Townsend - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: Jasmine Paolini will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Townsend is ranked WTA: 80. Paolini is ranked WTA: 7.

Townsend is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Paolini has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Townsend may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paolini might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Townsend won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Townsend
WTA Miami
19.03.26	Lulu Sun - Taylor Townsend	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Marta Kostyuk - Taylor Townsend	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Marie Bouzkova - Taylor Townsend	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Akasha Urhobo - Taylor Townsend	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Joanna Garland - Taylor Townsend	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.26	Talia Gibson - Jasmine Paolini	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Anastasia Potapova - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
WTA Merida
28.02.26	Jasmine Paolini - Cristina Bucsa	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Jasmine Paolini - Katie Boulter	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.05.23	Jasmine Paolini - Taylor Townsend	2:0
ITF Tournaments
06.06.17	Jasmine Paolini - Taylor Townsend	2:0

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