Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Terence Atmane		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	5.5	1.14	Watch
	5	1.16	Watch
	5.1	1.16
	6.27	1.16
	5.69	1.14	Watch
	5.5	1.14
	5.05	1.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↓ (5.95)	1.15 ↑ (1.14)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Terence Atmane
17.5%

Alexander Zverev
82.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

84%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Terence Atmane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Terence Atmane - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Atmane will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Zverev will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atmane: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5 Games - Atmane (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5 Games - Zverev (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atmane (votes: 1 - 50%). Zverev (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Atmane is ranked ATP: 47. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.

Recent performances by Atmane have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zverev is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zverev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zverev is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Terence Atmane
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Ugo Humbert - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Terence Atmane - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Arthur Fils - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Terence Atmane	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWL?L
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Mariano Navone - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.26	Alexander Zverev - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Alexander Zverev - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Alexander Zverev - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWW

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