Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Mariano Navone		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	3.9	1.24	Watch
	4.3	1.23
	4.58	1.25
	4.27	1.22	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	4.3	1.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↓ (4.85)	1.23 ↑ (1.18)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
22.4%

Alexander Zverev
77.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

80.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Mariano Navone - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Zverev will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 45. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.

Navone is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zverev has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Navone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zverev is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Nuno Borges - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Mariano Navone - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
05.04.26	Mariano Navone - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Mariano Navone - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Alex Molcan - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Munich
18.04.26	Alexander Zverev - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Alexander Zverev - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Alexander Zverev - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.26	Alexander Zverev - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL

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