Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Costa do Sauipe, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Thiago Monteiro		Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.61	2.19	Watch
	1.67	2.24
	1.60	2.18	Watch
	1.61	2.24	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.2)	2.18 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
57%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Monteiro's performance.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Monteiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Prado Angelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Thiago Monteiro - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Prado Angelo will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monteiro: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Prado Angelo (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 Games - Monteiro (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Monteiro (2.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Prado Angelo (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 176. Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 239.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Prado Angelo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monteiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
16.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Nicolas Kicker - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Thiago Monteiro - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	Canceled ✺
30.09.25	Thiago Monteiro - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Thiago Monteiro - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LW?LL
- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
17.10.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Pedro Boscardin Dias	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Gustavo Heide - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Thiago Monteiro - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	Canceled ✺
12.10.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Thiago Monteiro - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	Canceled

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