Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Gonzalo Bueno		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.29	1.64
	2.39	1.52	Watch
			Watch
	2.21	1.63	Watch
	2.28	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.1)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Bueno
41%

Thiago Monteiro
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Gonzalo Bueno - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bueno is ranked ATP: 223. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 176.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Monteiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Monteiro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bueno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Bueno - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.3%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Thiago Monteiro - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.7%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Hady Habib - Gonzalo Bueno	Canceled ✺
11.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Hady Habib	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 W?LWW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Nicolas Kicker - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Thiago Monteiro - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	Canceled ✺
30.09.25	Thiago Monteiro - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Thiago Monteiro - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0

Gonzalo Bueno - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide