The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Thiago Monteiro 58.2%
Jaume Munar 41.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.4%
50.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
51.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Monteiro's performance.
Jaume Munar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaume Munar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Monteiro that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaume Munar than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaume Munar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80.5%
0%
19.5%
Thiago Monteiro - Jaume Munar Predictions
Users Predictions:
Thiago Monteiro will win
(91 of 113 users predict this - 80.53%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.23% – 87.83%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Preview
Recent matches Monteiro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Munar is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Munar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Monteiro will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Monteiro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.