Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Timofey Skatov		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.35	Watch
	3.19	1.4
	3.2	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.17	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.29)	1.36 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
30.1%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Timofey Skatov's form might have worsened.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilo Ugo Carabelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Timofey Skatov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Timofey Skatov - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Skatov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 202. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 67.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ugo Carabelli might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Skatov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Timofey Skatov - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.17%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Timofey Skatov - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Timofey Skatov	Pellegrino A. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Roman Safiullin - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Matej Dodig - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 W?LLL
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
25.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.08.23	Timofey Skatov - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Timofey Skatov	2:0

Timofey Skatov - Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide