Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/16-finalsDate: 31 March 2026, Tuesday
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Timofey Skatov |
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Camilo Ugo Carabelli |
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- The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Timofey Skatov
30.1% | Camilo Ugo Carabelli
69.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Timofey Skatov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Timofey Skatov's form might have worsened.Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilo Ugo Carabelli's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (+13%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Timofey Skatov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Skatov (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 0:2 
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Preview
Skatov is ranked ATP: 202. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 67.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Ugo Carabelli might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Skatov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
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Last Results with these Odds
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.17%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 03.08.23 | Timofey Skatov - Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 1:2 | | ATP Buenos Aires | | | 11.02.23 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Timofey Skatov | 2:0 |
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