Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Timofey Skatov		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.3	1.67
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.84)	1.65 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
43.4%

Hugo Gaston
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Timofey Skatov's performance.

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timofey Skatov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Timofey Skatov - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Skatov will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Gaston will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 198. Gaston is ranked ATP: 117.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Skatov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gaston will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Skatov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Timofey Skatov - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.54%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Hugo Gaston - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 67.46%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Norbert Gombos - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Timofey Skatov - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Timofey Skatov - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Timofey Skatov	Pellegrino A. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLW?L
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Moise Kouame	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.07.19	Hugo Gaston - Timofey Skatov	2:1

Timofey Skatov - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide