What is the expert prediction for Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gaston?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gaston. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gaston Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 09, 2026)

Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Timofey Skatov		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.3	1.67
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.15	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.84)	1.65 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
43.4%

Hugo Gaston
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Timofey Skatov's performance.

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timofey Skatov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Skatov will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Gaston will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 198. Gaston is ranked ATP: 117.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Skatov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gaston will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Skatov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

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Last Results with these Odds

Timofey Skatov - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.54%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Norbert Gombos - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Timofey Skatov - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Timofey Skatov - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Timofey Skatov	Pellegrino A. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLW?L
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Moise Kouame	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.07.19	Hugo Gaston - Timofey Skatov	2:1

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