Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Titouan Droguet		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.78	2.13
	1.64	2.21	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.74	2.09	Watch
	1.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.04)	2.07 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Titouan Droguet
54.2%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Titouan Droguet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Titouan Droguet's performance.

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Kovacevic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Titouan Droguet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandar Kovacevic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.4%	0%	60.6%

Titouan Droguet - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Droguet will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kovacevic: 45.7% – 79.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Droguet (votes: 10 - 40%). Kovacevic (votes: 15 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 10.5 Games, 2nd Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 Games - Kovacevic (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Droguet (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Kovacevic (votes: 16 - 61.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Droguet is ranked ATP: 150. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 83.

Droguet is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kovacevic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Droguet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Droguet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Kovacevic - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.56%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Titouan Droguet
ATP Montpellier
03.02.26	Titouan Droguet - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Ugo Blanchet - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Robin Bertrand - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Titouan Droguet - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLW
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Moise Kouame - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Aleksandar Kovacevic	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Tommy Paul - Aleksandar Kovacevic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Titouan Droguet	0:2

Titouan Droguet - Aleksandar Kovacevic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide