Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	22:40	ESPN
Belgium	02:40	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:40	HBO Max
Brazil	22:40	ESPN
Bulgaria	03:40	HBO Max
Canada	20:40	RDS App
Colombia	20:40	ESPN
Croatia	02:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	02:40	HBO Max
Denmark	02:40	HBO Max
Finland	03:40	HBO Max
France	02:40	HBO Max
Hungary	02:40	HBO Max
Mexico	19:40	ESPN
Moldova	03:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	02:40	HBO Max
Netherlands	02:40	HBO Max
North Macedonia	02:40	HBO Max
Norway	02:40	HBO Max
Peru	20:40	ESPN
Poland	02:40	HBO Max
Romania	03:40	HBO Max
Serbia	02:40	HBO Max
Slovenia	02:40	HBO Max
Spain	02:40	HBO Max
Sweden	02:40	HBO Max
United Kingdom	01:40	Discovery+
Usa	20:40	ESPN USA
Venezuela	21:40	ESPN


	Tommy Paul		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.18	5	Watch
	1.20	4.58	Watch
	1.17	5
	1.19	4.79	Watch
	1.15	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↑ (1.14)	4.95 ↓ (5.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
80.8%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
19.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

82.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tommy Paul - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Kovacevic (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 36.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 50%). Kovacevic (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 21. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 58.

Kovacevic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Paul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paul is the undisputed favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Adelaide
15.01.26	Tomas Machac - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
09.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Cameron Norrie - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Nick Kyrgios - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Tommy Paul - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	✺
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Paris
31.10.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Aleksandar Kovacevic	✺

Tommy Paul - Aleksandar Kovacevic