Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Tommy Paul		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.18	5	Watch
	1.20	4.58	Watch
	1.17	5
	1.19	4.79	Watch
	1.15	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↑ (1.14)	4.95 ↓ (5.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
80.8%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tommy Paul - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Kovacevic (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 36.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 50%). Kovacevic (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 21. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 58.

Kovacevic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Paul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paul is the undisputed favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Adelaide
15.01.26	Tomas Machac - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
09.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Cameron Norrie - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Nick Kyrgios - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWW

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