Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. Tropez 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Titouan Droguet		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.80	1.91
	1.81	1.9	Watch
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.81	2
	1.77	1.92	Watch
	1.81	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.75)	1.92 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Titouan Droguet
51.5%

Mark Lajal
48.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Titouan Droguet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Titouan Droguet than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Titouan Droguet - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Droguet will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Lajal will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lajal: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lajal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Droguet is ranked ATP: 84., and Lajal is ranked ATP: 143..

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Lajal could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Droguet has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:0 (averaging 1:0 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Titouan Droguet - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.31%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.69%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Titouan Droguet
ATP Challenger
23.09.26	Titouan Droguet - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Titouan Droguet - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Borna Gojo - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Daniel Rincon - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
23.09.26	Thomas Faurel - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	David Goffin - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Titouan Droguet - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Mark Lajal - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Robin Bertrand - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Titouan Droguet - Mark Lajal	2:0
26.03.24	Mark Lajal - Titouan Droguet	Canceled

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