Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	22:45	ESPN
Belgium	02:45	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:45	HBO Max
Brazil	22:45	ESPN
Bulgaria	03:45	HBO Max
Canada	20:45	RDS App
Colombia	20:45	ESPN
Croatia	02:45	HBO Max
Czech Republic	02:45	HBO Max
Denmark	02:45	HBO Max
Finland	03:45	HBO Max
France	02:45	HBO Max
Hungary	02:45	HBO Max
Mexico	19:45	ESPN
Moldova	03:45	HBO Max
Montenegro	02:45	HBO Max
Netherlands	02:45	HBO Max
New Zealand	14:45	Sky Sport NOW
North Macedonia	02:45	HBO Max
Norway	02:45	HBO Max
Peru	20:45	ESPN
Poland	02:45	HBO Max
Romania	03:45	HBO Max
Serbia	02:45	HBO Max
Slovenia	02:45	HBO Max
Spain	02:45	HBO Max
Sweden	02:45	HBO Max
United Kingdom	01:45	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	20:45	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	21:45	ESPN


	Tomas Martin Etcheverry		Arthur Fery

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.32	Watch
	1.61	2.32	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.61	2.35	Watch
	1.62	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.5)	2.32 ↓ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
58.9%

Arthur Fery
41.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomas Martin Etcheverry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Arthur Fery Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Etcheverry will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Fery will win (votes: 12 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fery: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Etcheverry (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Fery (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Fery (3.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 Games - Fery (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Etcheverry (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Fery (votes: 10 - 76.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 62. Fery is ranked ATP: 186.

Etcheverry has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fery is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Etcheverry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Etcheverry is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Australian Open
17.01.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Nuno Borges - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
07.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
20.11.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWW
- Arthur Fery
ATP Australian Open
17.01.26	Arthur Fery - Flavio Cobolli	3:0 ✺
14.01.26	Dino Prizmic - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Arthur Fery - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Arthur Fery - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fery	Fery A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWW?

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Andrey Rublev - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	✺
- Arthur Fery
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Quentin Halys - Arthur Fery	✺

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Arthur Fery