Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.33	3.21	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.31	3.53	Watch
	1.28	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↑ (1.25)	3.39 ↓ (3.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
72.2%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.5%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Lorenzo Musetti - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Etcheverry will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 2 - 50%). Etcheverry (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Etcheverry (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Etcheverry (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Etcheverry (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 7. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 57.

In recent matches, Musetti has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Etcheverry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Musetti is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP World Tour Finals
13.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP Athens
08.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Sebastian Korda - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLW
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
20.11.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Athens
05.11.25	Alexandre Muller - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2

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