Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Tomas Martin Etcheverry		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.40	1.30
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.37	1.3	Watch
	3.45	1.32
	3.41	1.35	Watch
	3.4	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (4.02)	1.31 ↑ (1.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
27.7%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

76.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Etcheverry will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Tsitsipas (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Tsitsipas (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 30., and Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 44..

Etcheverry has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Tsitsipas is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Etcheverry could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Tsitsipas carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Tsitsipas in today's match, at odds of 1.34.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Etcheverry has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:5 (averaging 0:2.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - the odds 4.02 are the expected chance of winning is 23.28%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Hangzhou
25.09.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
06.09.26	Alex Michelsen - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Mariano Navone	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jacob Fearnley	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Vit Kopriva	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWW
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Tokyo
28.09.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Alex Molcan - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Norbert Gombos - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
06.09.26	Ben Shelton - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:3
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2

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