Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Tommy Paul		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.6
	1.27	3.5	Watch
	1.31	3.81
	1.29	3.53	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.31	3.53	Watch
	1.27	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)	3.56 ↑ (3.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
73.4%

Cameron Norrie
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Tommy Paul - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Norrie will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 11. Norrie is ranked ATP: 77.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paul won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paul is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Paul won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Tommy Paul - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Marcos Giron - Tommy Paul	Giron M. walkover ✺
24.02.25	Gabriel Diallo - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
08.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Tommy Paul - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 W?WLW
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Cameron Norrie - Jiri Lehecka	2:1 ✺
05.03.25	Cameron Norrie - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Cameron Norrie	Canceled ✺
24.02.25	Learner Tien - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.25	Cameron Norrie - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
03.07.22	Cameron Norrie - Tommy Paul	3:0
ATP Delray Beach
19.02.22	Cameron Norrie - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
13.10.21	Tommy Paul - Cameron Norrie	1:2
ATP Melbourne Murray River Open
31.01.21	Tommy Paul - Cameron Norrie	2:1
ATP Challenger
13.10.16	Cameron Norrie - Tommy Paul	1:2

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